Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Saprissa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Saprissa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.70
Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa preview and prediction
The match
Puntarenas FC host Deportivo Saprissa in the Primera División on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy. Puntarenas FC are 7th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Puntarenas FC's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to LD Alajuelense 2–5 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Deportivo Saprissa's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Guadalupe FC 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Deportivo Saprissa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Puntarenas FC and 1.9 for Deportivo Saprissa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puntarenas FC 16%, draw 21%, Deportivo Saprissa 64%.
Safer route: Deportivo Saprissa or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Deportivo Saprissa to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Saprissa or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Puntarenas FC 0–1 Deportivo Saprissa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puntarenas FC16%fair 6.36 · @3.65
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.25
Deportivo Saprissa64%fair 1.57 · @1.95
2.67Expected goals
0.79Puntarenas FC xG
1.88Deportivo Saprissa xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Puntarenas FC 0.8 – 1.9 Deportivo Saprissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Saprissa to win✓
64%
1.57
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Saprissa or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Deportivo Saprissa ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Saprissa / FT Deportivo Saprissa✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.70
–
Form
Puntarenas FC – last 6
LLDLDL
24 Apr
@ LD Alajuelense
2–5
L
19 Apr
vs Sporting San Jose
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Perez Zeledon
3–3
D
6 Apr
vs CS Herediano
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ Sporting San Jose
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Municipal Liberia
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Saprissa – last 6
WDWDWL
23 Apr
vs Guadalupe FC
5–0
W
20 Apr
@ LD Alajuelense
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ Sporting San Jose
3–1
W
26 Mar
@ Municipal Liberia
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ San Carlos
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ CS Cartagines
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puntarenas FC and Deportivo Saprissa.
What is the prediction for Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our pick is Deportivo Saprissa or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?
On our numbers Puntarenas FC have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportivo Saprissa 64%.
How many goals will there be in Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our predicted score is Puntarenas FC 0–1 Deportivo Saprissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Guadalupe FC
Municipal Liberia