Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Municipal Liberia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLD Alajuelense to win41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.84
Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense travel to Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno in the Primera División on Sunday 26 April (22:00 WAT) to face Municipal Liberia.
Form guide
Municipal Liberia's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Sporting San Jose 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LD Alajuelense's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Puntarenas FC 5–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Municipal Liberia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Municipal Liberia and 1.3 for LD Alajuelense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Municipal Liberia 35%, draw 24%, LD Alajuelense 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Municipal Liberia to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Municipal Liberia 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Municipal Liberia35%fair 2.87 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
LD Alajuelense41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
2.42Expected goals
1.15Municipal Liberia xG
1.27LD Alajuelense xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Municipal Liberia 1.1 – 1.3 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LD Alajuelense to win
41%
2.45
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
8.84
–
Form
Municipal Liberia – last 6
WWWDWW
22 Apr
@ Sporting San Jose
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs CS Cartagines
1–0
W
7 Apr
vs San Carlos
5–1
W
26 Mar
vs Deportivo Saprissa
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ CS Herediano
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
LD Alajuelense – last 6
WDWDLL
24 Apr
vs Puntarenas FC
5–2
W
20 Apr
vs Deportivo Saprissa
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Sporting San Jose
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs Guadalupe FC
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ CS Herediano
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Los Angeles FC
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal Liberia and LD Alajuelense.
What is the prediction for Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers Municipal Liberia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and LD Alajuelense 41%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is Municipal Liberia 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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