Value bet: Municipal Liberia to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMunicipal Liberia to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia preview and prediction
The match
Perez Zeledon host Municipal Liberia in the Primera División on Wednesday 4 March, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Perez Zeledon's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to CS Herediano 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Municipal Liberia's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Sporting San Jose 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Municipal Liberia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Perez Zeledon and 1.5 for Municipal Liberia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Perez Zeledon 31%, draw 24%, Municipal Liberia 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Municipal Liberia to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Perez Zeledon 0–1 Municipal Liberia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Perez Zeledon31%fair 3.19 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
Municipal Liberia44%fair 2.25 · @2.50
2.47Expected goals
0.97Perez Zeledon xG
1.50Municipal Liberia xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Perez Zeledon 1.0 – 1.5 Municipal Liberia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal Liberia to win✗
44%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal Liberia / FT Municipal Liberia✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.86
–
Form
Perez Zeledon – last 3
LDL
1 Mar
@ CS Herediano
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Guadalupe FC
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Puntarenas FC
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Municipal Liberia – last 3
WLL
2 Mar
vs Sporting San Jose
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ CS Cartagines
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Deportivo Saprissa
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Perez Zeledon and Municipal Liberia.
What is the prediction for Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
On our numbers Perez Zeledon have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Municipal Liberia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
Our predicted score is Perez Zeledon 0–1 Municipal Liberia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
