LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees LD Alajuelense take on CS Cartagines on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto. LD Alajuelense are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while CS Cartagines sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
LD Alajuelense's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Puntarenas FC 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
CS Cartagines's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with San Carlos 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
CS Cartagines arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for LD Alajuelense and 1.0 for CS Cartagines. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: LD Alajuelense 1–0 CS Cartagines. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LD Alajuelense56%fair 1.78 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
CS Cartagines19%fair 5.23 · @4.75
2.53Expected goals
1.54LD Alajuelense xG
0.98CS Cartagines xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.5 – 1.0 CS Cartagines expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LD Alajuelense to win✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Double chance
LD Alajuelense or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense✓
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.10
–
Form
LD Alajuelense – last 3
LLL
1 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Deportivo Saprissa
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Sporting San Jose
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CS Cartagines – last 4
DLWL
2 Mar
@ San Carlos
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Municipal Liberia
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ CS Herediano
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LD Alajuelense and CS Cartagines.
What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?
On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CS Cartagines 19%.
How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?
Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–0 CS Cartagines, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?
LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Municipal Liberia1