Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv to win ✓63% · @1.31
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal Tula host Lokomotiv in the Cup on Thursday 5 March, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion Arsenal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.1 for Arsenal Tula and 1.8 for Lokomotiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tula 16%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.94.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.94 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Lokomotiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tula16%fair 6.12 · @9.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @5.05
Lokomotiv63%fair 1.60 · @1.31
2.86Expected goals
1.08Arsenal Tula xG
1.78Lokomotiv xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.1 – 1.8 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✓
63%
1.60
1.31
Double chance
Lokomotiv or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.94 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.20
–
Form
Arsenal Tula – last 1
D
27 Feb
@ KAMAZ
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Dinamo Samarqand
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and Lokomotiv.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lokomotiv 63%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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