Dynamo host Spartak Moscow in the Cup on Thursday 5 March, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at VTB Arena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Dynamo and 1.4 for Spartak Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dynamo 37%, draw 26%, Spartak Moscow 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.63.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Dynamo 1–1 Spartak Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dynamo37%fair 2.70 · @2.65
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.48
Spartak Moscow37%fair 2.74 · @2.72
2.89Expected goals
1.47Dynamo xG
1.42Spartak Moscow xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dynamo 1.5 – 1.4 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo to win✓
37%
2.70
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.71
–
Form
Dynamo – last 1
W
1 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Spartak Moscow – last 2
WW
2 Mar
@ FC Sochi
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs FC Rostov
5–2
W
4.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo and Spartak Moscow.
What is the prediction for Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Dynamo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spartak Moscow 37%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Dynamo 1–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow?
Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at VTB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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