Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg preview and prediction
The match
FC Orenburg travel to Samara Arena in the Cup on Wednesday 4 March (16:30 WAT) to face Krylia Sovetov.
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Dynamo 0–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
FC Orenburg's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Akron 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Orenburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.4 for FC Orenburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Krylia Sovetov 42%, draw 25%, FC Orenburg 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.64.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Krylia Sovetov 1–1 FC Orenburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Krylia Sovetov42%fair 2.39 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.38
FC Orenburg33%fair 3.00 · @2.82
2.84Expected goals
1.48Krylia Sovetov xG
1.36FC Orenburg xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.5 – 1.4 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Krylia Sovetov to win✓
42%
2.39
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.64
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Krylia Sovetov / FT Krylia Sovetov✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Form
Krylia Sovetov – last 3
LLW
1 Mar
@ Dynamo
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Baltika
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Chelyabinsk
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Orenburg – last 3
WWW
28 Feb
vs Akron
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Rubin
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Alashkert
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Krylia Sovetov and FC Orenburg.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Orenburg 33%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–1 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Rostov0
Dinamo Makhachkala2
CSKA Moscow3
FC Krasnodar1