CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar preview and prediction
The match
FC Krasnodar travel to VEB Arena in the Cup on Wednesday 4 March (18:45 WAT) to face CSKA Moscow.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for CSKA Moscow and 1.4 for FC Krasnodar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: CSKA Moscow 38%, draw 25%, FC Krasnodar 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.68.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Moscow38%fair 2.66 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.56
FC Krasnodar37%fair 2.69 · @2.62
2.98Expected goals
1.55CSKA Moscow xG
1.43FC Krasnodar xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.5 – 1.4 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
38%
2.66
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.68
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
CSKA Moscow – last 2
LW
1 Mar
@ Akhmat
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs FC Rostov
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Krasnodar – last 2
WL
28 Feb
vs FC Rostov
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Zenit
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and FC Krasnodar.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Krasnodar 37%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Krylia Sovetov2
FC Orenburg0
FC Rostov0
Dinamo Makhachkala2