Value bet: Frýdek-Místek to win @ 2.15 – our chance 49% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrýdek-Místek to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek preview and prediction
The match
Polanka nad Odrou host Frýdek-Místek in the 3. Liga MSFL on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadium Polanka nad Odrou. Polanka nad Odrou are 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Frýdek-Místek sit 1st on 33 points (top of the table). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Polanka nad Odrou's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Uničov 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Frýdek-Místek's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Vrchovina 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Frýdek-Místek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Polanka nad Odrou and 1.7 for Frýdek-Místek. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Polanka nad Odrou 33%, draw 18%, Frýdek-Místek 49%.
Value angle: Frýdek-Místek to win at 2.15 – 49% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Polanka nad Odrou 1–2 Frýdek-Místek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polanka nad Odrou33%fair 3.04 · @2.50
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @4.00
Frýdek-Místek49%fair 2.03 · @2.15
2.98Expected goals
1.30Polanka nad Odrou xG
1.68Frýdek-Místek xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Polanka nad Odrou 1.3 – 1.7 Frýdek-Místek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frýdek-Místek to win✓
49%
2.03
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frýdek-Místek / FT Frýdek-Místek✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.74
–
Form
Polanka nad Odrou – last 5
DLDLD
12 Apr
@ Uničov
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Sigma Olomouc II
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Vrchovina
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Zbrojovka Brno II
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Vratimov
3–3
D
1.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Frýdek-Místek – last 6
DLWWWW
11 Apr
vs Vrchovina
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Vsetín
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs Zbrojovka Brno II
5–2
W
20 Mar
@ Hranice
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs Karviná II
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Hlučín
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polanka nad Odrou and Frýdek-Místek.
What is the prediction for Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek?
On our numbers Polanka nad Odrou have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Frýdek-Místek 49%.
How many goals will there be in Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek?
Our predicted score is Polanka nad Odrou 1–2 Frýdek-Místek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek?
Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Polanka nad Odrou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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