Value bet: Slovácko II to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlovácko II to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Karviná II vs Slovácko II preview and prediction
The match
Karviná II host Slovácko II in the 3. Liga MSFL on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 09:15 (WAT) at Stadion Kovona. Karviná II are 8th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Slovácko II sit 11th on 22 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Karviná II's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Třinec 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Slovácko II's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Hlučín 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Slovácko II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Karviná II and 1.6 for Slovácko II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karviná II 35%, draw 22%, Slovácko II 43%.
Value angle: Slovácko II to win at 2.55 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Karviná II 1–2 Slovácko II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karviná II35%fair 2.87 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.45
Slovácko II43%fair 2.34 · @2.55
2.98Expected goals
1.40Karviná II xG
1.58Slovácko II xG
51%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Karviná II 1.4 – 1.6 Slovácko II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slovácko II to win✗
43%
2.34
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slovácko II / FT Slovácko II✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.27
–
Form
Karviná II – last 6
LDLWDL
4 Apr
vs Třinec
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Vítkovice
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Frýdek-Místek
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Uničov
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Bospor Bohumín
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Górnik Zabrze II
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Slovácko II – last 6
WWWLLD
12 Apr
vs Hlučín
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Zlín II
4–0
W
28 Mar
vs Start Brno
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Sigma Olomouc II
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Hodonín
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Strání
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karviná II and Slovácko II.
What is the prediction for Karviná II vs Slovácko II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Karviná II vs Slovácko II?
On our numbers Karviná II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Slovácko II 43%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná II vs Slovácko II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karviná II vs Slovácko II?
Our predicted score is Karviná II 1–2 Slovácko II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Karviná II vs Slovácko II?
Karviná II vs Slovácko II (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 09:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kovona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Třinec1
Start Brno1