Ecuador W travel to Estadio Defensores del Chaco in the CONMEBOL Nations League Women on Saturday 11 April (00:00 WAT) to face Paraguay W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Paraguay W and 1.1 for Ecuador W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paraguay W 43%, draw 23%, Ecuador W 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Paraguay W 1–1 Ecuador W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paraguay W43%fair 2.35 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Ecuador W35%fair 2.87 · @2.80
2.36Expected goals
1.26Paraguay W xG
1.10Ecuador W xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Paraguay W 1.3 – 1.1 Ecuador W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paraguay W to win✓
43%
2.35
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paraguay W / FT Paraguay W✓
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.43
–
Form
Paraguay W – last 1
L
4 Mar
vs Chile W
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ecuador W – last 1
L
4 Mar
vs Uruguay W
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paraguay W and Ecuador W.
What is the prediction for Paraguay W vs Ecuador W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Paraguay W vs Ecuador W?
On our numbers Paraguay W have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ecuador W 35%.
How many goals will there be in Paraguay W vs Ecuador W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paraguay W vs Ecuador W?
Our predicted score is Paraguay W 1–1 Ecuador W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Paraguay W vs Ecuador W?
Paraguay W vs Ecuador W (CONMEBOL Nations League Women) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chile W0
Argentina W1
Colombia W2
Venezuela W1