Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentina W to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Chile W vs Argentina W preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Nations League Women sees Chile W take on Argentina W on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Chile W and 1.8 for Argentina W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 50% and both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chile W 28%, draw 22%, Argentina W 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.36, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chile W 1–1 Argentina W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chile W28%fair 3.55 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Argentina W50%fair 2.02 · @2.15
3.04Expected goals
1.27Chile W xG
1.77Argentina W xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Chile W 1.3 – 1.8 Argentina W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentina W to win✓
50%
2.02
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentina W / FT Argentina W✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.52
–
Form
Chile W – last 1
W
4 Mar
@ Paraguay W
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Argentina W – last 2
LL
4 Mar
vs Colombia W
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ USA W
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chile W and Argentina W.
What is the prediction for Chile W vs Argentina W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chile W vs Argentina W?
On our numbers Chile W have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Argentina W 50%.
How many goals will there be in Chile W vs Argentina W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chile W vs Argentina W?
Our predicted score is Chile W 1–1 Argentina W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chile W vs Argentina W?
Chile W vs Argentina W (CONMEBOL Nations League Women) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paraguay W2
Ecuador W0
Colombia W2
Venezuela W1