GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
GOR Mahia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✗62% · @1.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05
GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks preview and prediction
The match
Kariobangi Sharks travel to Moi International Sports Centre in the FKF Premier League on Saturday 4 April (13:15 WAT) to face GOR Mahia.
Form guide
GOR Mahia's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Ulinzi Stars 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Kariobangi Sharks's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to AFC Leopards 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
GOR Mahia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for GOR Mahia and 0.7 for Kariobangi Sharks. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: GOR Mahia 62%, draw 19%, Kariobangi Sharks 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GOR Mahia to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: GOR Mahia 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GOR Mahia62%fair 1.61 · @1.45
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.70
Kariobangi Sharks20%fair 5.13 · @6.50
2.25Expected goals
1.56GOR Mahia xG
0.68Kariobangi Sharks xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.6 – 0.7 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.05
–
Form
GOR Mahia – last 4
WDWW
15 Mar
@ Ulinzi Stars
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs KCB
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ APS Bomet
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
LLWLWD
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Shabana
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Tusker
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ APS Bomet
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks.
What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our pick is GOR Mahia to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kariobangi Sharks 20%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
