Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUlinzi Stars to win ✗47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Ulinzi Stars take on APS Bomet on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ulinzi Sports Complex. Ulinzi Stars are 14th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while APS Bomet sit 13th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ulinzi Stars's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Sofapaka 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
APS Bomet's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Nairobi United 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ulinzi Stars arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Ulinzi Stars and 0.9 for APS Bomet. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Ulinzi Stars 1–1 APS Bomet. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulinzi Stars47%fair 2.14 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
APS Bomet30%fair 3.36 · @3.20
2.15Expected goals
1.24Ulinzi Stars xG
0.91APS Bomet xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 1.2 – 0.9 APS Bomet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulinzi Stars to win✗
47%
2.14
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ulinzi Stars / FT Ulinzi Stars✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
WWLLDL
29 Mar
vs Sofapaka
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Nairobi United
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs GOR Mahia
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
APS Bomet – last 6
DDDLLD
29 Mar
vs Nairobi United
0–0
D
21 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Bidco United
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Homeboyz
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Police
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and APS Bomet.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and APS Bomet 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 1–1 APS Bomet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kariobangi Sharks0