Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.48
Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia preview and prediction
The match
GOR Mahia travel to Ulinzi Sports Complex in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 15 March (13:30 WAT) to face Ulinzi Stars. Ulinzi Stars are 14th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while GOR Mahia sit 1st on 13 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Ulinzi Stars's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to Bidco United 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
GOR Mahia's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Posta Rangers FC 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
GOR Mahia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Ulinzi Stars and 1.6 for GOR Mahia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ulinzi Stars 13%, draw 22%, GOR Mahia 65%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GOR Mahia to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ulinzi Stars 0–1 GOR Mahia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulinzi Stars13%fair 7.70 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
GOR Mahia65%fair 1.55 · @1.65
2.20Expected goals
0.56Ulinzi Stars xG
1.64GOR Mahia xG
40%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.6 – 1.6 GOR Mahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✓
65%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Double chance
GOR Mahia or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.48
–
Form
Ulinzi Stars – last 4
LDLD
2 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Police
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
GOR Mahia – last 3
DWW
5 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs KCB
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ APS Bomet
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and GOR Mahia.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?
Our pick is GOR Mahia to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and GOR Mahia 65%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 0–1 GOR Mahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?
Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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