Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka preview and prediction
The match
Sofapaka travel to Green Stadium in the FKF Premier League on Monday 2 March (12:00 WAT) to face Mara Sugar.
Form guide
Sofapaka's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Police 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Mara Sugar and 0.8 for Sofapaka. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mara Sugar 53%, draw 11%, Sofapaka 36%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 86% chance. Predicted score: Mara Sugar 1–0 Sofapaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mara Sugar53%fair 1.89
Draw11%fair 9.09
Sofapaka36%fair 2.78
2.00Expected goals
1.16Mara Sugar xG
0.84Sofapaka xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mara Sugar 1.2 – 0.8 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mara Sugar to win✓
53%
1.89
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mara Sugar / FT Mara Sugar✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
Mara Sugar – last 2
DW
26 Feb
@ Bidco United
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ulinzi Stars
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sofapaka – last 3
LLL
26 Feb
vs Police
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Homeboyz
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mara Sugar and Sofapaka.
What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 86% chance.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
On our numbers Mara Sugar have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Sofapaka 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
Our predicted score is Mara Sugar 1–0 Sofapaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Green Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
