Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.64 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHomeboyz to win ✓66% · @1.64
Double chanceHomeboyz or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.06
Homeboyz vs APS Bomet preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Homeboyz take on APS Bomet on Monday 2 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Bukhungu Stadium. Homeboyz are 17th with 5 points from 5 games (in the bottom three), while APS Bomet sit 13th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Homeboyz's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Ulinzi Stars 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
APS Bomet's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Kariobangi Sharks 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Homeboyz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Homeboyz and 0.6 for APS Bomet. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Homeboyz to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Homeboyz 1–0 APS Bomet. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Homeboyz66%fair 1.52 · @1.64
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.10
APS Bomet13%fair 7.54 · @5.25
2.36Expected goals
1.75Homeboyz xG
0.61APS Bomet xG
43%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Homeboyz 1.8 – 0.6 APS Bomet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Homeboyz to win✓
66%
1.52
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Homeboyz or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Homeboyz ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Homeboyz / FT Homeboyz✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.06
–
Form
Homeboyz – last 3
DWW
26 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Sofapaka
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Bidco United
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
APS Bomet – last 3
LDL
26 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Police
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GOR Mahia
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Homeboyz and APS Bomet.
Our pick is Homeboyz to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
On our numbers Homeboyz have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and APS Bomet 13%.
How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
Our predicted score is Homeboyz 1–0 APS Bomet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
Homeboyz vs APS Bomet (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Bukhungu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
