Value bet: Perth Glory to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrisbane Roar to win ✗40% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory preview and prediction
The match
The A League sees Brisbane Roar take on Perth Glory on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Suncorp Stadium. Brisbane Roar are 3rd with 7 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Perth Glory sit 5th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Brisbane Roar and 1.3 for Perth Glory. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Perth Glory to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Brisbane Roar 1–1 Perth Glory. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brisbane Roar40%fair 2.49 · @2.16
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Perth Glory37%fair 2.70 · @3.10
2.61Expected goals
1.34Brisbane Roar xG
1.27Perth Glory xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Brisbane Roar 1.3 – 1.3 Perth Glory expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brisbane Roar to win✗
40%
2.49
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brisbane Roar / FT Brisbane Roar✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.93
–
Form
Brisbane Roar – last 2
LD
21 Feb
@ Sydney
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Melbourne Victory
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Perth Glory – last 2
LL
20 Feb
@ Adelaide United
0–4
L
13 Feb
vs Newcastle Jets
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brisbane Roar and Perth Glory.
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
On our numbers Brisbane Roar have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Perth Glory 37%.
How many goals will there be in Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
Our predicted score is Brisbane Roar 1–1 Perth Glory, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory (A League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Suncorp Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
