Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets preview and prediction
The match
The A League sees Central Coast Mariners take on Newcastle Jets on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at polytec Stadium. Central Coast Mariners are 11th with 2 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Newcastle Jets sit 10th on 2 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.3 for Central Coast Mariners and 2.2 for Newcastle Jets. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Central Coast Mariners 1–2 Newcastle Jets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Central Coast Mariners24%fair 4.17 · @4.20
Draw17%fair 5.89 · @4.30
Newcastle Jets59%fair 1.69 · @1.68
3.51Expected goals
1.31Central Coast Mariners xG
2.19Newcastle Jets xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Central Coast Mariners 1.3 – 2.2 Newcastle Jets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle Jets to win✗
59%
1.69
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Half-time result
Newcastle Jets ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle Jets / FT Newcastle Jets✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Central Coast Mariners – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Newcastle Jets – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Macarthur
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Perth Glory
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets.
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
On our numbers Central Coast Mariners have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Newcastle Jets 59%.
How many goals will there be in Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
Our predicted score is Central Coast Mariners 1–2 Newcastle Jets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets (A League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at polytec Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
