Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.58
Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq preview and prediction
The match
Şahdağ host Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Şahdağ are 2nd with 15 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Baku Sportinq sit 10th on 1 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Şahdağ's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Mingəçevir 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Baku Sportinq's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Cəbrayıl 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Şahdağ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Şahdağ and 1.3 for Baku Sportinq. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şahdağ 34%, draw 24%, Baku Sportinq 42%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Şahdağ 1–1 Baku Sportinq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şahdağ34%fair 2.91 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Baku Sportinq42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
2.39Expected goals
1.12Şahdağ xG
1.27Baku Sportinq xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Şahdağ 1.1 – 1.3 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baku Sportinq to win✗
42%
2.39
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baku Sportinq / FT Baku Sportinq✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.58
–
Form
Şahdağ – last 6
WWWDWW
5 May
vs Mingəçevir
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ MOIK
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Zaqatala
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Cəbrayıl
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Difai Ağsu
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Şimal
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Baku Sportinq – last 6
WDLDWL
7 May
@ Cəbrayıl
3–2
W
30 Apr
vs Difai Ağsu
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Şimal
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs Safa Baku
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs MOIK
3–1
W
2 Apr
@ Səbail
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şahdağ and Baku Sportinq.
What is the prediction for Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Şahdağ have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baku Sportinq 42%.
How many goals will there be in Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Şahdağ 1–1 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq?
Şahdağ vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
