Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Zaqatala vs Səbail preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Zaqatala take on Səbail on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Zaqatala are 8th with 5 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Səbail sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Zaqatala's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Mingəçevir 1–7 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Səbail's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Cəbrayıl 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Səbail arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Zaqatala and 2.0 for Səbail. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 43%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zaqatala 10%, draw 22%, Səbail 67%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Zaqatala 0–2 Səbail. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zaqatala10%fair 9.75 · @5.20
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.85
Səbail67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
2.68Expected goals
0.68Zaqatala xG
2.00Səbail xG
43%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–114%
1–29%
1–19%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zaqatala 0.7 – 2.0 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Double chance
Səbail or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Səbail ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
14%
7.27
–
Form
Zaqatala – last 6
LLLLWD
29 Apr
@ Mingəçevir
1–7
L
22 Apr
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
15 Apr
@ MOIK
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Cəbrayıl
2–3
L
2 Apr
vs Difai Ağsu
1–0
W
19 Mar
@ Şimal
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Səbail – last 6
WWWLWD
30 Apr
vs Cəbrayıl
6–0
W
23 Apr
@ Difai Ağsu
4–0
W
16 Apr
vs Şimal
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ Safa Baku
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs MOIK
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zaqatala and Səbail.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zaqatala vs Səbail?
On our numbers Zaqatala have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Səbail 67%.
How many goals will there be in Zaqatala vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Zaqatala 0–2 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Zaqatala vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
