Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMOIK to win ✗60% · @1.63
Double chanceMOIK or draw ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.28
Şimal vs MOIK preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Şimal take on MOIK on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Şimal are 6th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while MOIK sit 3rd on 14 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Şimal's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Safa Baku 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
MOIK's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Şahdağ 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Şimal and 2.0 for MOIK. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şimal 16%, draw 24%, MOIK 60%.
Safer route: MOIK or draw (84%) at 1.13.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Şimal 0–1 MOIK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şimal16%fair 6.27 · @4.30
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.65
MOIK60%fair 1.65 · @1.63
2.91Expected goals
0.93Şimal xG
1.98MOIK xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Şimal 0.9 – 2.0 MOIK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MOIK to win✗
60%
1.65
1.63
Double chance
MOIK or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.41
Half-time result
MOIK ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MOIK / FT MOIK✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
Şimal – last 6
DWLLLD
29 Apr
@ Safa Baku
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Səbail
0–4
L
9 Apr
vs Mingəçevir
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Şahdağ
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Zaqatala
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
MOIK – last 6
LLWLWD
29 Apr
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Safa Baku
0–3
L
15 Apr
vs Zaqatala
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Baku Sportinq
1–3
L
2 Apr
vs Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Səbail
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and MOIK.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Şimal vs MOIK?
On our numbers Şimal have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and MOIK 60%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs MOIK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs MOIK?
Our predicted score is Şimal 0–1 MOIK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs MOIK?
Şimal vs MOIK (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
