Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.88
Şimal vs Baku Sportinq preview and prediction
The match
Baku Sportinq travel to face Şimal in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 23 April (13:00 WAT). Şimal are 6th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Baku Sportinq sit 10th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Şimal's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Səbail 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Baku Sportinq's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Safa Baku 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Baku Sportinq arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Şimal and 2.1 for Baku Sportinq. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şimal 13%, draw 17%, Baku Sportinq 70%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Baku Sportinq to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Şimal 0–2 Baku Sportinq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şimal13%fair 7.76 · @6.25
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @4.50
Baku Sportinq70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
2.89Expected goals
0.75Şimal xG
2.14Baku Sportinq xG
44%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Şimal 0.8 – 2.1 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baku Sportinq to win✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Baku Sportinq or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Baku Sportinq ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baku Sportinq / FT Baku Sportinq✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.88
–
Form
Şimal – last 6
LLLDLW
16 Apr
@ Səbail
0–4
L
9 Apr
vs Mingəçevir
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Şahdağ
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Zaqatala
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Safa Baku
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Zaqatala
4–3
W
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Baku Sportinq – last 6
DWLDWL
16 Apr
vs Safa Baku
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs MOIK
3–1
W
2 Apr
@ Səbail
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Difai Ağsu
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Baku Sportinq.
What is the prediction for Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Baku Sportinq to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Şimal have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Baku Sportinq 70%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Şimal 0–2 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Şimal vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Difai Ağsu0