Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSəbail to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceSəbail or draw ✓91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.65
Difai Ağsu vs Səbail preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Difai Ağsu take on Səbail on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Difai Ağsu's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Mingəçevir 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Səbail's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Şimal 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Səbail arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.7 for Difai Ağsu and 2.1 for Səbail. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Difai Ağsu 9%, draw 23%, Səbail 68%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Səbail to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Difai Ağsu 0–2 Səbail. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Difai Ağsu9%fair 11.06 · @5.75
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.10
Səbail68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
2.86Expected goals
0.72Difai Ağsu xG
2.14Səbail xG
46%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
1–29%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Difai Ağsu 0.7 – 2.1 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Double chance
Səbail or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Səbail ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.65
–
Form
Difai Ağsu – last 6
LLLDLL
16 Apr
@ Mingəçevir
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Şahdağ
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Zaqatala
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Cəbrayıl
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Baku Sportinq
1–3
L
6 Mar
@ MOIK
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Səbail – last 6
WLWDWW
16 Apr
vs Şimal
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ Safa Baku
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs MOIK
2–2
D
12 Mar
@ Mingəçevir
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Cəbrayıl
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difai Ağsu and Səbail.
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Difai Ağsu vs Səbail?
On our numbers Difai Ağsu have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Səbail 68%.
How many goals will there be in Difai Ağsu vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difai Ağsu vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Difai Ağsu 0–2 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Difai Ağsu vs Səbail?
Difai Ağsu vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
