Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultŞahdağ to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ preview and prediction
The match
Şahdağ travel to face Difai Ağsu in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 9 April (12:30 WAT).
Form guide
Difai Ağsu's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Zaqatala 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Şahdağ's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Şimal 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Şahdağ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.2 for Difai Ağsu and 2.0 for Şahdağ. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Difai Ağsu 26%, draw 14%, Şahdağ 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Şahdağ to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Difai Ağsu 1–2 Şahdağ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Difai Ağsu26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
Draw14%fair 6.95 · @3.40
Şahdağ60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
3.13Expected goals
1.15Difai Ağsu xG
1.98Şahdağ xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Difai Ağsu 1.2 – 2.0 Şahdağ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Şahdağ to win✓
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Şahdağ ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Şahdağ / FT Şahdağ✓
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Difai Ağsu – last 6
LDLLLL
2 Apr
@ Zaqatala
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Cəbrayıl
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Baku Sportinq
1–3
L
6 Mar
@ MOIK
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Safa Baku
1–8
L
19 Feb
@ Zaqatala
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Şahdağ – last 6
WLDLWW
3 Apr
vs Şimal
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Safa Baku
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs MOIK
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Safa Baku
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Zaqatala
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Şimal
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difai Ağsu and Şahdağ.
Our pick is Şahdağ to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ?
On our numbers Difai Ağsu have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Şahdağ 60%.
How many goals will there be in Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ?
Our predicted score is Difai Ağsu 1–2 Şahdağ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ?
Difai Ağsu vs Şahdağ (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
