Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.59
Səbail vs Baku Sportinq preview and prediction
The match
Səbail host Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at ASCO Arena. Səbail are 5th with 12 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Baku Sportinq sit 10th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Səbail's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with MOIK 2–2 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Baku Sportinq's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Mingəçevir 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 February 2026, finished Səbail 0–0 Baku Sportinq.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Səbail and 0.8 for Baku Sportinq. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Səbail 57%, draw 24%, Baku Sportinq 19%.
Safer route: Səbail or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Səbail to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Səbail 1–0 Baku Sportinq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Səbail57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.30
Baku Sportinq19%fair 5.19 · @3.90
2.33Expected goals
1.56Səbail xG
0.77Baku Sportinq xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Səbail 1.6 – 0.8 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Səbail have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baku Sportinq 19%.
How many goals will there be in Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Səbail 1–0 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
Səbail vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ASCO Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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