Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMOIK to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceMOIK or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.87
MOIK vs Cəbrayıl preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees MOIK take on Cəbrayıl on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). MOIK are 3rd with 14 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Cəbrayıl sit 1st on 16 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MOIK's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Səbail 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Cəbrayıl's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Difai Ağsu 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
MOIK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for MOIK and 0.9 for Cəbrayıl. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: MOIK 65%, draw 21%, Cəbrayıl 14%.
Safer route: MOIK or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was MOIK to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: MOIK 2–0 Cəbrayıl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MOIK65%fair 1.53 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Cəbrayıl14%fair 7.15 · @3.75
2.98Expected goals
2.10MOIK xG
0.87Cəbrayıl xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: MOIK 2.1 – 0.9 Cəbrayıl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MOIK to win✓
65%
1.53
1.75 ▲
Double chance
MOIK or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
MOIK ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MOIK / FT MOIK✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
MOIK – last 5
DDWLW
18 Mar
@ Səbail
2–2
D
12 Mar
@ Şahdağ
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Difai Ağsu
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Mingəçevir
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs Səbail
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Cəbrayıl – last 5
DWLLL
19 Mar
@ Difai Ağsu
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Zaqatala
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Səbail
1–4
L
24 Feb
@ Şimal
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Baku Sportinq
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MOIK and Cəbrayıl.
Our pick is MOIK to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win MOIK vs Cəbrayıl?
On our numbers MOIK have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cəbrayıl 14%.
How many goals will there be in MOIK vs Cəbrayıl?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MOIK vs Cəbrayıl?
Our predicted score is MOIK 2–0 Cəbrayıl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is MOIK vs Cəbrayıl?
MOIK vs Cəbrayıl (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Difai Ağsu0