Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq preview and prediction
The match
Baku Sportinq travel to face Difai Ağsu in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 12 March (12:00 WAT).
Form guide
Difai Ağsu's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to MOIK 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Baku Sportinq's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Mingəçevir 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Baku Sportinq arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Difai Ağsu and 1.5 for Baku Sportinq. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Difai Ağsu 21%, draw 22%, Baku Sportinq 56%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Difai Ağsu 1–1 Baku Sportinq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Difai Ağsu21%fair 4.75 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.00
Baku Sportinq56%fair 1.77 · @1.44
2.74Expected goals
1.24Difai Ağsu xG
1.50Baku Sportinq xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Difai Ağsu 1.2 – 1.5 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baku Sportinq to win✓
56%
1.77
1.44
Double chance
Baku Sportinq or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baku Sportinq / FT Baku Sportinq✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Difai Ağsu – last 4
LLLW
6 Mar
@ MOIK
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Safa Baku
1–8
L
19 Feb
@ Zaqatala
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Şimal
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Baku Sportinq – last 3
LDW
5 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
0–1
L
24 Feb
@ Səbail
0–0
D
18 Feb
@ Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difai Ağsu and Baku Sportinq.
What is the prediction for Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Difai Ağsu have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Baku Sportinq 56%.
How many goals will there be in Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Difai Ağsu 1–1 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq?
Difai Ağsu vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
