Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.42
Səbail vs Baku Sportinq preview and prediction
The match
Səbail host Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta on Tuesday 24 February, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at ASCO Arena. Səbail are 5th with 12 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Baku Sportinq sit 10th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Səbail and 0.8 for Baku Sportinq. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Səbail 52%, draw 22%, Baku Sportinq 26%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Səbail to win – a 52% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Səbail 1–0 Baku Sportinq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Səbail52%fair 1.92 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Baku Sportinq26%fair 3.86 · @3.50
2.58Expected goals
1.78Səbail xG
0.80Baku Sportinq xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Səbail 1.8 – 0.8 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Səbail ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.42
–
Form
Səbail – last 1
L
18 Feb
@ MOIK
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Baku Sportinq – last 1
W
18 Feb
@ Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Səbail and Baku Sportinq.
What is the prediction for Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Səbail have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Baku Sportinq 26%.
How many goals will there be in Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Səbail 1–0 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Səbail vs Baku Sportinq?
Səbail vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ASCO Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
