Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCəbrayıl to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Şimal vs Cəbrayıl preview and prediction
The match
Cəbrayıl travel to face Şimal in the Birinci Dasta on Tuesday 24 February (12:00 WAT). Şimal are 6th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Cəbrayıl sit 1st on 16 points (top of the table).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.4 for Şimal and 2.1 for Cəbrayıl. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şimal 24%, draw 20%, Cəbrayıl 57%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Şimal 1–2 Cəbrayıl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şimal24%fair 4.21 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.60
Cəbrayıl57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
3.50Expected goals
1.38Şimal xG
2.11Cəbrayıl xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Şimal 1.4 – 2.1 Cəbrayıl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cəbrayıl to win✗
57%
1.76
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Cəbrayıl ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cəbrayıl / FT Cəbrayıl✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.68
–
Form
Şimal – last 2
LL
19 Feb
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Difai Ağsu
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cəbrayıl – last 1
L
18 Feb
vs Baku Sportinq
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Cəbrayıl.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Şimal vs Cəbrayıl?
On our numbers Şimal have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cəbrayıl 57%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Cəbrayıl?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Cəbrayıl?
Our predicted score is Şimal 1–2 Cəbrayıl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Cəbrayıl?
Şimal vs Cəbrayıl (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
