Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultŞahdağ to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceŞahdağ or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Şimal vs Şahdağ preview and prediction
The match
Şimal host Şahdağ in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 19 February, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Şimal are 6th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Şahdağ sit 2nd on 15 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.1 for Şimal and 2.3 for Şahdağ. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şimal 17%, draw 20%, Şahdağ 63%.
Safer route: Şahdağ or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Şimal 1–2 Şahdağ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şimal17%fair 5.94 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.33
Şahdağ63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
3.46Expected goals
1.14Şimal xG
2.32Şahdağ xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–37%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Şimal 1.1 – 2.3 Şahdağ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Şahdağ to win✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Double chance
Şahdağ or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Şahdağ ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Şahdağ / FT Şahdağ✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Şimal – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Difai Ağsu
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Şahdağ
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Şahdağ.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Şimal vs Şahdağ?
On our numbers Şimal have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Şahdağ 63%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Şahdağ?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Şahdağ?
Our predicted score is Şimal 1–2 Şahdağ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Şahdağ?
Şimal vs Şahdağ (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Safa Baku2
Difai Ağsu1