Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSafa Baku to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceSafa Baku or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Safa Baku take on Mingəçevir on Thursday 19 February, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Safa Baku and 0.8 for Mingəçevir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Safa Baku 59%, draw 26%, Mingəçevir 15%.
Safer route: Safa Baku or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Safa Baku to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Safa Baku 1–0 Mingəçevir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Safa Baku59%fair 1.69 · @1.62
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
Mingəçevir15%fair 6.76 · @5.00
2.64Expected goals
1.82Safa Baku xG
0.82Mingəçevir xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Safa Baku 1.8 – 0.8 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Safa Baku to win✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Double chance
Safa Baku or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Safa Baku ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Safa Baku / FT Safa Baku✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Safa Baku
No recent results on record.
Mingəçevir – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Zaqatala
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Safa Baku and Mingəçevir.
What is the prediction for Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
Our pick is Safa Baku to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
On our numbers Safa Baku have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mingəçevir 15%.
How many goals will there be in Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
Our predicted score is Safa Baku 1–0 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir?
Safa Baku vs Mingəçevir (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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