Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarrubia to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Azuqueca vs Villarrubia preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 18 sees Azuqueca take on Villarrubia on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio San Miguel.
Form guide
Azuqueca's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Pedroñeras 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Villarrubia's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Tarancón 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villarrubia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Azuqueca and 1.2 for Villarrubia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Azuqueca 0–1 Villarrubia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Azuqueca31%fair 3.20 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Villarrubia46%fair 2.16 · @2.25
2.09Expected goals
0.90Azuqueca xG
1.19Villarrubia xG
43%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Azuqueca 0.9 – 1.2 Villarrubia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarrubia to win✗
46%
2.16
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarrubia / FT Villarrubia✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.80
–
Form
Azuqueca – last 3
LLD
2 Apr
vs Pedroñeras
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Manchego
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Albacete II
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Villarrubia – last 5
WLDWL
2 Apr
vs Tarancón
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ San Clemente
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Illescas
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Manchego
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Villarrobledo
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Azuqueca and Villarrubia.
What is the prediction for Azuqueca vs Villarrubia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Azuqueca vs Villarrubia?
On our numbers Azuqueca have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villarrubia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Azuqueca vs Villarrubia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Azuqueca vs Villarrubia?
Our predicted score is Azuqueca 0–1 Villarrubia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Azuqueca vs Villarrubia?
Azuqueca vs Villarrubia (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio San Miguel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
