Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIllescas to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceIllescas or draw ✓81% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.23
Cazalegas vs Illescas preview and prediction
The match
Cazalegas host Illescas in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación.
Form guide
Cazalegas's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Villarrobledo 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Illescas's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat Marchamalo 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Cazalegas and 1.6 for Illescas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Illescas to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Cazalegas 0–1 Illescas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cazalegas19%fair 5.17 · @5.40
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Illescas60%fair 1.66 · @1.57
2.28Expected goals
0.71Cazalegas xG
1.56Illescas xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Cazalegas 0.7 – 1.6 Illescas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Illescas to win✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Double chance
Illescas or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Illescas / FT Illescas✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.23
–
Form
Cazalegas – last 5
LWLLD
22 Mar
vs Villarrobledo
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs La Solana
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Toledo
0–6
L
22 Feb
@ Sonseca
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Huracán Balazote
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Illescas – last 4
WDLL
15 Mar
vs Marchamalo
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Villarrubia
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Tarancón
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Pedroñeras
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cazalegas and Illescas.
Our pick is Illescas to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Cazalegas vs Illescas?
On our numbers Cazalegas have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Illescas 60%.
How many goals will there be in Cazalegas vs Illescas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cazalegas vs Illescas?
Our predicted score is Cazalegas 0–1 Illescas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cazalegas vs Illescas?
Cazalegas vs Illescas (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.