Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarrubia to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.64
Illescas vs Villarrubia preview and prediction
The match
Illescas host Villarrubia in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Illescas. Illescas are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Villarrubia sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Illescas and 1.1 for Villarrubia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Illescas 1–1 Villarrubia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Illescas34%fair 2.91 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
Villarrubia40%fair 2.50 · @2.38
2.16Expected goals
1.03Illescas xG
1.14Villarrubia xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Illescas 1.0 – 1.1 Villarrubia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarrubia to win✗
40%
2.50
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarrubia / FT Villarrubia✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
Illescas – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Tarancón
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Pedroñeras
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarrubia – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Manchego
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Villarrobledo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Illescas and Villarrubia.
What is the prediction for Illescas vs Villarrubia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Illescas vs Villarrubia?
On our numbers Illescas have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villarrubia 40%.
How many goals will there be in Illescas vs Villarrubia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Illescas vs Villarrubia?
Our predicted score is Illescas 1–1 Villarrubia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Illescas vs Villarrubia?
Illescas vs Villarrubia (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Illescas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pedroñeras0
Calvo Sotelo3
Sonseca1
Cazalegas0