Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.90
Varea vs Yagüe preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 16 sees Varea take on Yagüe on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Varea. Varea are 5th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Yagüe sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Varea and 0.8 for Yagüe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Varea 70%, draw 17%, Yagüe 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Varea to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Varea 2–0 Yagüe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varea70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 6.02 · @4.60
Yagüe14%fair 7.32 · @9.00
2.85Expected goals
2.10Varea xG
0.76Yagüe xG
47%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Varea 2.1 – 0.8 Yagüe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varea to win✗
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Varea or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Varea ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varea / FT Varea✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.90
–
Form
Varea
No recent results on record.
Yagüe
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varea and Yagüe.
Our pick is Varea to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Varea vs Yagüe?
On our numbers Varea have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Yagüe 14%.
How many goals will there be in Varea vs Yagüe?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varea vs Yagüe?
Our predicted score is Varea 2–0 Yagüe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Varea vs Yagüe?
Varea vs Yagüe (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Varea.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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