Value bet: San Marcial to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Marcial to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Autol vs San Marcial preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 16 sees Autol take on San Marcial on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Manzanera.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Autol and 1.4 for San Marcial. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Autol 32%, draw 23%, San Marcial 44%.
Value angle: San Marcial to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Autol 1–1 San Marcial. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Autol32%fair 3.08 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.95
San Marcial44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
2.62Expected goals
1.18Autol xG
1.43San Marcial xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Autol 1.2 – 1.4 San Marcial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcial to win✓
44%
2.26
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcial / FT San Marcial✓
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.53
–
Form
Autol
No recent results on record.
San Marcial
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Autol and San Marcial.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Autol vs San Marcial?
On our numbers Autol have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Marcial 44%.
How many goals will there be in Autol vs San Marcial?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Autol vs San Marcial?
Our predicted score is Autol 1–1 San Marcial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Autol vs San Marcial?
Autol vs San Marcial (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Manzanera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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