Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPeña Sport to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chancePeña Sport or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.24
Aoiz vs Peña Sport preview and prediction
The match
Peña Sport travel to Estadio San Miguel in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 on Sunday 22 March (17:00 WAT) to face Aoiz.
Form guide
Aoiz's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Atlético Artajonés 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Aoiz and 1.8 for Peña Sport. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aoiz 16%, draw 25%, Peña Sport 59%.
Safer route: Peña Sport or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Peña Sport or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aoiz 0–1 Peña Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aoiz16%fair 6.23 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Peña Sport59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
2.72Expected goals
0.88Aoiz xG
1.84Peña Sport xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aoiz 0.9 – 1.8 Peña Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peña Sport to win✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Peña Sport or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Peña Sport ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peña Sport / FT Peña Sport✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Aoiz – last 4
LLLL
18 Mar
@ Atlético Artajonés
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Cirbonero
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Huarte
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Subiza
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Peña Sport – last 2
WW
18 Mar
vs Cortes
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Oberena
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aoiz and Peña Sport.
Our pick is Peña Sport or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aoiz vs Peña Sport?
On our numbers Aoiz have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Peña Sport 59%.
How many goals will there be in Aoiz vs Peña Sport?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aoiz vs Peña Sport?
Our predicted score is Aoiz 0–1 Peña Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aoiz vs Peña Sport?
Aoiz vs Peña Sport (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio San Miguel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
