Value bet: Avance Ezcabarte to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCortes to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.47
Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 15 sees Cortes take on Avance Ezcabarte on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Estadio San Francisco Javier. Cortes are 17th with 6 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Avance Ezcabarte sit 8th on 14 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Cortes and 1.2 for Avance Ezcabarte. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Avance Ezcabarte to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Cortes 1–1 Avance Ezcabarte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cortes42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Avance Ezcabarte35%fair 2.86 · @3.25
2.55Expected goals
1.35Cortes xG
1.20Avance Ezcabarte xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cortes 1.4 – 1.2 Avance Ezcabarte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cortes to win✓
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cortes / FT Cortes✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.47
–
Form
Cortes – last 2
LD
18 Mar
@ Peña Sport
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Valle Egüés
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avance Ezcabarte – last 1
W
28 Feb
vs Bidezarra
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cortes and Avance Ezcabarte.
What is the prediction for Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
On our numbers Cortes have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avance Ezcabarte 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Our predicted score is Cortes 1–1 Avance Ezcabarte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio San Francisco Javier.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Peña Sport2