Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.08
Alcúdia vs Formentera preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 11 sees Alcúdia take on Formentera on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Estadi Municipal Els Arcs. Alcúdia are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Formentera sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Alcúdia and 1.3 for Formentera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Alcúdia 1–1 Formentera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcúdia33%fair 3.05 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Formentera43%fair 2.31 · @2.38
2.33Expected goals
1.06Alcúdia xG
1.27Formentera xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Alcúdia 1.1 – 1.3 Formentera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Formentera to win
43%
2.31
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Formentera / FT Formentera
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.08
–
Form
Alcúdia
No recent results on record.
Formentera
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcúdia and Formentera.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Alcúdia vs Formentera?
On our numbers Alcúdia have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Formentera 43%.
How many goals will there be in Alcúdia vs Formentera?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcúdia vs Formentera?
Our predicted score is Alcúdia 1–1 Formentera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alcúdia vs Formentera?
Alcúdia vs Formentera (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal Els Arcs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Peña Deportiva1
Mallorca II3
Felanitx0