Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cornellà to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCornellà to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceCornellà or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Cornellà vs Badalona preview and prediction
The match
Badalona travel to Nou Municipal de Cornella in the Tercera División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 15 February (12:30 WAT) to face Cornellà. Cornellà are 14th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Badalona sit 3rd on 17 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Cornellà and 0.7 for Badalona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Cornellà to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cornellà or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cornellà 1–0 Badalona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cornellà61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Badalona17%fair 5.84 · @3.50
2.34Expected goals
1.63Cornellà xG
0.71Badalona xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cornellà 1.6 – 0.7 Badalona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cornellà to win✗
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Cornellà or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cornellà / FT Cornellà✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Cornellà
No recent results on record.
Badalona
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cornellà and Badalona.
Our pick is Cornellà or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cornellà vs Badalona?
On our numbers Cornellà have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Badalona 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cornellà vs Badalona?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cornellà vs Badalona?
Our predicted score is Cornellà 1–0 Badalona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cornellà vs Badalona?
Cornellà vs Badalona (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Nou Municipal de Cornella.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
