Castro vs Atlético Albericia prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Albericia to win ✓38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Castro vs Atlético Albericia preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Albericia travel to Campo Riomar in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 15 February (17:00 WAT) to face Castro. Castro are 12th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Atlético Albericia sit 11th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Castro and 1.3 for Atlético Albericia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Castro 36%, draw 26%, Atlético Albericia 38%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Castro 1–1 Atlético Albericia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castro36%fair 2.81 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.75
Atlético Albericia38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
2.50Expected goals
1.22Castro xG
1.28Atlético Albericia xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Castro 1.2 – 1.3 Atlético Albericia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Albericia to win✓
38%
2.61
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Albericia / FT Atlético Albericia✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.53
–
Form
Castro
No recent results on record.
Atlético Albericia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castro and Atlético Albericia.
What is the prediction for Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
On our numbers Castro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atlético Albericia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
Our predicted score is Castro 1–1 Atlético Albericia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Castro vs Atlético Albericia?
Castro vs Atlético Albericia (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Riomar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnástica Torrelavega6
Colindres1