Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPraviano to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chancePraviano or draw ✗82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Praviano vs Lenense preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 2 sees Praviano take on Lenense on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Catalina.
Form guide
Praviano's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat San Martín 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Praviano and 0.7 for Lenense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Praviano 61%, draw 21%, Lenense 18%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Praviano to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Praviano 1–0 Lenense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Praviano61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Lenense18%fair 5.66 · @4.80
2.39Expected goals
1.66Praviano xG
0.73Lenense xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Praviano 1.7 – 0.7 Lenense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Praviano to win✗
61%
1.63
1.67
Double chance
Praviano or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Praviano / FT Praviano✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Praviano – last 3
WLL
1 Mar
@ San Martín
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Covadonga
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Avilés Stadium
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lenense – last 2
LD
1 Mar
vs Tuilla
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Covadonga
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Praviano and Lenense.
Our pick is Praviano to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Praviano vs Lenense?
On our numbers Praviano have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lenense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Praviano vs Lenense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Praviano vs Lenense?
Our predicted score is Praviano 1–0 Lenense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Praviano vs Lenense?
Praviano vs Lenense (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Catalina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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