Value bet: Gijón Industrial to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martín to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Gijón Industrial vs San Martín preview and prediction
The match
Gijón Industrial host San Martín in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Cruz. Gijón Industrial are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while San Martín sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Gijón Industrial and 1.3 for San Martín. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gijón Industrial 34%, draw 22%, San Martín 44%.
Value angle: Gijón Industrial to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Gijón Industrial 1–1 San Martín. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gijón Industrial34%fair 2.92 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
San Martín44%fair 2.30 · @2.10
2.38Expected goals
1.09Gijón Industrial xG
1.28San Martín xG
48%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gijón Industrial 1.1 – 1.3 San Martín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín to win✗
44%
2.30
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martín / FT San Martín✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.39
–
Form
Gijón Industrial – last 2
LL
1 Mar
@ Covadonga
0–6
L
15 Feb
@ Llanera
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
San Martín – last 2
LW
1 Mar
vs Praviano
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Tuilla
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gijón Industrial and San Martín.
What is the prediction for Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
On our numbers Gijón Industrial have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Martín 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
Our predicted score is Gijón Industrial 1–1 San Martín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gijón Industrial vs San Martín?
Gijón Industrial vs San Martín (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lenense1
Llanera3