Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Boiro to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoiro to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceBoiro or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.49
Boiro vs Alondras preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 1 sees Boiro take on Alondras on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Campo Municipal de Barraña. Boiro are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Alondras sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Boiro's last 4: DDDL Most recently they drew with Polvorín 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Alondras's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Barco 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Alondras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Boiro and 0.7 for Alondras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boiro 61%, draw 23%, Alondras 17%.
Safer route: Boiro or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Boiro to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Boiro or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Boiro 1–0 Alondras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boiro61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Alondras17%fair 6.04 · @3.75
2.38Expected goals
1.66Boiro xG
0.72Alondras xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Boiro 1.7 – 0.7 Alondras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boiro to win✓
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Boiro or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boiro / FT Boiro✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.49
–
Form
Boiro – last 4
DDDL
19 Mar
@ Polvorín
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Silva
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Cambados
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Viveiro
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Alondras – last 3
LDW
19 Mar
vs Barco
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Estradense
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Coruña
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boiro and Alondras.
Our pick is Boiro or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Boiro vs Alondras?
On our numbers Boiro have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alondras 17%.
How many goals will there be in Boiro vs Alondras?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boiro vs Alondras?
Our predicted score is Boiro 1–0 Alondras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Boiro vs Alondras?
Boiro vs Alondras (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Barraña.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arosa1
Barbadás0
Noia0
Compostela0