Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.42
Estradense vs Noia preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 1 sees Estradense take on Noia on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada.
Form guide
Estradense's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Villalbés 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Noia's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Somozas 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Estradense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Estradense and 0.6 for Noia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estradense 69%, draw 21%, Noia 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Estradense to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Estradense 1–0 Noia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estradense69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.80
Noia10%fair 9.62 · @6.25
2.51Expected goals
1.92Estradense xG
0.59Noia xG
42%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Estradense 1.9 – 0.6 Noia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estradense to win
69%
1.45
1.44
Double chance
Estradense or draw
90%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Estradense ahead at half-time
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estradense / FT Estradense
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.42
–
Form
Estradense – last 5
WWDLL
19 Mar
@ Villalbés
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Barbadás
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Alondras
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Celta de Vigo III
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ Celtiga
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Noia – last 3
LLL
19 Mar
vs Somozas
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Coruña
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Arosa
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estradense and Noia.
Our pick is Estradense to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Estradense vs Noia?
On our numbers Estradense have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Noia 10%.
How many goals will there be in Estradense vs Noia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estradense vs Noia?
Our predicted score is Estradense 1–0 Noia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estradense vs Noia?
Estradense vs Noia (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arosa1
Barbadás0
Compostela0