Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chilpancingo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultChilpancingo to win64% · @1.85
Double chanceChilpancingo or draw88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.41
Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro preview and prediction
The match
Chilpancingo host Zitacuaro in the Liga Premier Serie A on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Cancha Vicente Guerrero.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Chilpancingo and 0.6 for Zitacuaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 40%.
Value angle: Chilpancingo to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chilpancingo or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chilpancingo 1–0 Zitacuaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chilpancingo64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.25
Zitacuaro12%fair 8.20 · @3.75
2.44Expected goals
1.79Chilpancingo xG
0.65Zitacuaro xG
40%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Chilpancingo 1.8 – 0.6 Zitacuaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chilpancingo to win
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Chilpancingo or draw
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Chilpancingo ahead at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chilpancingo / FT Chilpancingo
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.41
–
Form
Chilpancingo – last 1
W
6 Mar
@ Atletico Hidalgo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Zitacuaro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chilpancingo and Zitacuaro.
What is the prediction for Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
Our pick is Chilpancingo or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
On our numbers Chilpancingo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zitacuaro 12%.
How many goals will there be in Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
Our predicted score is Chilpancingo 1–0 Zitacuaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Cancha Vicente Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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