Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros prediction & analysis
54%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.75
4/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones Negros to win49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.76
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros preview and prediction
The match
Mineros de Fresnillo host Leones Negros in the Liga Premier Serie A on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Mineros de Fresnillo and 1.6 for Leones Negros. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Mineros de Fresnillo 1–2 Leones Negros. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mineros de Fresnillo32%fair 3.12 · @2.80
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Leones Negros49%fair 2.06 · @2.10
2.86Expected goals
1.25Mineros de Fresnillo xG
1.62Leones Negros xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Mineros de Fresnillo 1.2 – 1.6 Leones Negros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones Negros to win
49%
2.06
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leones Negros / FT Leones Negros
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.76
–
Form
Mineros de Fresnillo – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ Los Cabos United
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leones Negros – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Durango
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Fresnillo and Leones Negros.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
On our numbers Mineros de Fresnillo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leones Negros 49%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Fresnillo 1–2 Leones Negros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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