Value bet: Deportivo Zap to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Zap to win61% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Zap or draw83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.58
Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX preview and prediction
The match
Lobos ULMX travel to Estadio Unidad Deportiva Hermanos López Rayón in the Liga Premier Serie A on Saturday 7 March (22:30 WAT) to face Deportivo Zap.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Deportivo Zap and 0.8 for Lobos ULMX. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Deportivo Zap to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportivo Zap 1–0 Lobos ULMX. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Zap61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
Lobos ULMX17%fair 5.88 · @3.85
2.49Expected goals
1.72Deportivo Zap xG
0.77Lobos ULMX xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Zap 1.7 – 0.8 Lobos ULMX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Zap to win
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Zap or draw
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Zap / FT Deportivo Zap
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.58
–
Form
Deportivo Zap – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ FC Santiago
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lobos ULMX – last 2
LD
1 Mar
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Zap and Lobos ULMX.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?
On our numbers Deportivo Zap have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lobos ULMX 17%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Zap 1–0 Lobos ULMX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX?
Deportivo Zap vs Lobos ULMX (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Hermanos López Rayón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leones Negros
Cimarrones
Correcaminos UAT II
Sporting Canamy
Ciervos
Gavilanes FC Matamoros
Cordobés
Real Apodaca
Mexicali FC
Cañoneros Marina
Chapulineros
Héroes de Zaci
Colima4
Ensenada1
Tritons Vallarta1
Tecos0