Value bet: Lobos ULMX to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Apodaca to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.55
Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca preview and prediction
The match
Lobos ULMX host Real Apodaca in the Liga Premier Serie A on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Lobos ULMX and 1.4 for Real Apodaca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lobos ULMX 34%, draw 22%, Real Apodaca 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Lobos ULMX to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Lobos ULMX 1–1 Real Apodaca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lobos ULMX34%fair 2.98 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Real Apodaca44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
2.61Expected goals
1.19Lobos ULMX xG
1.42Real Apodaca xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lobos ULMX 1.2 – 1.4 Real Apodaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Apodaca to win✗
44%
2.25
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Apodaca / FT Real Apodaca✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.55
–
Form
Lobos ULMX
No recent results on record.
Real Apodaca – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lobos ULMX and Real Apodaca.
What is the prediction for Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
On our numbers Lobos ULMX have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Apodaca 44%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
Our predicted score is Lobos ULMX 1–1 Real Apodaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca?
Lobos ULMX vs Real Apodaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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